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South Korean Won AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

8.41%

increased by 0.59%

1 Week

8.40%

increased by 0.58%

1 Month

8.35%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 03:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/11/2024

to

10/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of South Korean Won AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0022
5.59***
αARCH0.0627
9.48***
βGARCH0.9270
156.45***
γleverage-0.0586
-1.82*

0.990

Persistence

67d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0022
5.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0627
9.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9270
156.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0586
-1.82*

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days