Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

United States Dollar Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

9.59%

increased by 4.12%

1 Week

9.55%

increased by 4.08%

1 Month

9.42%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of United States Dollar Index AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 27, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0034
7.43***
αARCH0.0613
18.80***
βGARCH0.9254
326.41***
γleverage0.0133
0.46

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0034
7.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0613
18.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9254
326.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0133
0.46

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days