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V-Lab

Norwegian Krone AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

6.27%

increased by 0.08%

1 Week

6.32%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

6.50%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Norwegian Krone AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~121 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0021
3.62***
αARCH0.0291
6.61***
βGARCH0.9652
194.90***
γleverage-0.0341
-0.56

0.994

Persistence

121d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0021
3.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0291
6.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9652
194.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0341
-0.56

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

121 days