Egyptian Pound AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
9.03%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
8.92%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
8.49%
decreased by 1.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0025 | 11.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1236 | 22.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8555 | 150.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0083 | -0.52 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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