V-Lab
Egyptian Pound MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
6.75%
increased by 0.53%
1 Week
7.64%
increased by 1.42%
1 Month
9.67%
increased by 3.45%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1933 | 28.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6502 | 44.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0080 | 0.49 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0160 | 0.79 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8272 | 0.53 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.847
Half-life:
4 days
Other Egyptian Pound Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Currencies