Skip to main content
V-Lab

Egyptian Pound MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

0.00%

decreased by 6.11%

1 Week

7.50%

increased by 1.39%

1 Month

12.88%

increased by 6.77%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian Pound MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7500
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0038
29.92***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0665
23.44***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9252
266.92***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-