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V-Lab

Egyptian Pound MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

6.75%

increased by 0.53%

1 Week

7.64%

increased by 1.42%

1 Month

9.67%

increased by 3.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian Pound MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1933
28.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6502
44.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0080
0.49
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0160
0.79
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8272
0.53
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.847

Half-life:

4 days