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Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

56.43%

decreased by 5.87%

1 Week

54.65%

decreased by 7.65%

1 Month

52.17%

decreased by 10.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/07/2024

to

11/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Nov 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 159% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 159% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0653
2.51**
βGARCH0.7060
14.22***
γleverage0.1036
2.32**
λ₁tau intercept0.0406
0.99
λ₂forecast adj.0.0125
1.96*
λ₃tau persistence0.9849
122.32***

0.823

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0653
2.51**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7060
14.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1036
2.32**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0406
0.99
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0125
1.96*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9849
122.32***

Persistence:

0.823

Half-life:

4 days