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V-Lab

Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

37.17%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Week

40.10%

increased by 2.44%

1 Month

43.70%

increased by 6.04%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Aug 15, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 161% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0665
9.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7130
51.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1074
9.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0406
1.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0162
2.24**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9813
120.08***

Persistence:

0.833

Half-life:

4 days