Skip to main content
V-Lab

Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

42.35%

decreased by 1.27%

1 Week

44.81%

increased by 1.19%

1 Month

48.25%

increased by 4.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 164% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0660
9.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7118
50.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1079
9.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0427
1.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0152
2.16**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9821
121.33***

Persistence:

0.832

Half-life:

4 days