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V-Lab

Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

44.52%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

48.62%

increased by 3.46%

1 Month

50.95%

increased by 5.79%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 12:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 275% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0426
7.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6817
40.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1170
13.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.6756
1.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7385
7.77***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.783

Half-life:

3 days