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Ethereum to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

53.85%

decreased by 1.80%

1 Week

54.82%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Month

58.18%

increased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 5, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.01 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 47-day half-lifev = 3.01 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst25.9838
0.76
αARCH0.0573
6.89***
βGARCH0.9855
50.78***
νDF3.0105
4.04***

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

25.9838
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0573
6.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9855
50.78***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0105
4.04***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days