V-Lab
Ethereum to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.31%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Week
50.47%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Month
54.47%
increased by 3.36%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.04 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 25.8351 | 3.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0569 | 27.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9857 | 208.74*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0388 | 15.86*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
Other Ethereum to US Dollar Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Currencies