V-Lab
Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
46.02%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
47.61%
increased by 0.83%
1 Month
52.59%
increased by 5.81%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5343 | 14.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0611 | 8.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9022 | 181.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0187 | 1.41 |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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