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V-Lab

Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

48.20%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

49.66%

increased by 0.92%

1 Month

54.22%

increased by 5.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 06:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5516
14.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0613
8.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9010
179.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0189
1.41

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days