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Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

48.12%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

49.72%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

54.53%

increased by 5.63%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/17/2024

to

10/17/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Oct 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6348
3.30***
αARCH0.0587
2.05**
βGARCH0.8951
42.17***
γleverage0.0241
0.43

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6348
3.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0587
2.05**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8951
42.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0241
0.43

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days