Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
57.95%
decreased by 1.82%
1 Week
58.68%
decreased by 1.09%
1 Month
60.98%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Nov 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6150 | 3.30*** |
| αARCH | 0.0590 | 2.06** |
| βGARCH | 0.8967 | 42.77*** |
| γleverage | 0.0225 | 0.41 |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6150 | 3.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0590 | 2.06** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8967 | 42.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0225 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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