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Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

52.99%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Week

54.25%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

58.07%

increased by 3.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 5, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6882
3.38***
αARCH0.0596
2.03**
βGARCH0.8915
40.80***
γleverage0.0243
0.42

0.963

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6882
3.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0596
2.03**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8915
40.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0243
0.42

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

19 days