V-Lab
Ethereum to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
52.99%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Week
54.25%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
58.07%
increased by 3.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6882 | 3.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.0596 | 2.03** |
| βGARCH | 0.8915 | 40.80*** |
| γleverage | 0.0243 | 0.42 |
0.963
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6882 | 3.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0596 | 2.03** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8915 | 40.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0243 | 0.42 |
Persistence:
0.963
Half-life:
19 days
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