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V-Lab

US Dollar to Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

8.46%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

8.48%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

8.56%

decreased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Chilean Peso GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 32% more than negative returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0029
11.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0584
18.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9410
516.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0142
-2.58***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

90 days