Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.6966	2.18**
αARCH	0.0348	28.58***
βGARCH	0.9973	818.81***
νDF	2.2491	168.66***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.6966	2.18**
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0348	28.58***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9973	818.81***
ν DF Student-t tail thickness	2.2491	168.66***

V-Lab

US Dollar to Chilean Peso GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other US Dollar to Chilean Peso Analyses