US Dollar to Chilean Peso MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
8.20%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Week
426,995,934,406,874,700,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 426,995,934,406,874,700,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
1 Month
925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 01:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0341 | 16.53 | |
| 0.9748 | 16.58 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 19, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Nov 19, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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