US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
3.32%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
3.52%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
3.94%
increased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 01:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1438 | 14.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6093 | 41.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0113 | 0.86 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0036 | 0.69 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9084 | 0.68 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.759
Half-life:
3 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Currencies