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V-Lab

US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

3.32%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

3.52%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Month

3.94%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 01:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Kuwaiti Dinar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1438
14.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6093
41.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0113
0.86
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0036
0.69
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9084
0.68
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.759

Half-life:

3 days