Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

US Dollar to Swiss Franc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

5.96%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

6.04%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

6.18%

increased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 7, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Swiss Franc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0063
0.81
βGARCH0.8005
18.07***
γleverage0.0548
3.87***
λ₁tau intercept0.0012
2.50**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0372
5.02***
λ₃tau persistence0.9586
116.37***

0.834

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0063
0.81
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8005
18.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0548
3.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0012
2.50**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0372
5.02***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9586
116.37***

Persistence:

0.834

Half-life:

4 days