US Dollar to Swiss Franc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
5.96%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
5.98%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
6.05%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 221 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0009 | 13.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0247 | 28.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9721 | 1,082.56*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
221 days
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