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V-Lab

US Dollar to Swiss Franc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

5.96%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

5.98%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

6.05%

increased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Swiss Franc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 221 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0009
13.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0247
28.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9721
1,082.56***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

221 days