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V-Lab
V-Lab

Chilean Peso GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

10.41%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

10.43%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

10.50%

decreased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chilean Peso GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 1992 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 377 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~377 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0016
3.14***
αARCH0.0507
7.18***
βGARCH0.9475
141.25***

0.998

Persistence

377d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0016
3.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0507
7.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9475
141.25***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

377 days