Skip to main content
V-Lab

Chilean Peso AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

9.14%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

9.17%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

9.27%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chilean Peso AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 421 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: positive returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0015
14.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0501
28.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9482
556.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0350
-2.00**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

421 days