V-Lab
Chilean Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
10.21%
increased by 0.28%
1 Week
10.36%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
10.93%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 08:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 1992 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
EGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~82 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0066 | 2.07** |
| αARCH | 0.1208 | 6.92*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9916 | 456.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.0067 | 0.49 |
0.992
Persistence82d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0066 | 2.07** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1208 | 6.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9916 | 456.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0067 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
82 days
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