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V-Lab

Chinese Renminbi EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

0.98%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

1.01%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

1.12%

increased by 0.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chinese Renminbi EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 29, 2005 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 231 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~231 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0079
1.30
αARCH0.0941
4.94***
βGARCH0.9970
480.71***
γleverage0.0211
1.11

0.997

Persistence

231d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0079
1.30
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0941
4.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9970
480.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0211
1.11

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

231 days