Skip to main content
V-Lab

Gold Troy Ounce EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

16.65%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Week

16.70%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

16.85%

decreased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gold Troy Ounce EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 27, 2013 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0052
3.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0979
8.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9745
215.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0136
1.53

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days