Ethereum to US Dollar EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
47.54%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Week
49.30%
increased by 0.53%
1 Month
55.65%
increased by 6.88%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 12:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 35% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1119 | 13.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1521 | 17.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9659 | 372.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0228 | -3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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