V-Lab
Pakistani Rupee EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
3.25%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
3.45%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
4.35%
increased by 0.94%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 1999 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 50-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0149 | 2.11** |
| αARCH | 0.2315 | 7.73*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9862 | 255.29*** |
| γleverage | 0.0094 | 0.33 |
0.986
Persistence50d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0149 | 2.11** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2315 | 7.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9862 | 255.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0094 | 0.33 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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