V-Lab
Pakistani Rupee EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
4.82%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
5.06%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
6.10%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0151 | 8.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2315 | 30.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9862 | 1,021.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0092 | 1.31 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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