V-Lab
Peruvian New Sol EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
7.18%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
7.25%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Month
7.46%
decreased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0750 | -1.50 |
| αARCH | 0.2193 | 6.70*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9463 | 38.66*** |
| γleverage | 0.0203 | 0.46 |
0.946
Persistence13d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0750 | -1.50 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2193 | 6.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9463 | 38.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0203 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
13 days
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