V-Lab
Peruvian New Sol EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
4.23%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
4.52%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
5.49%
increased by 1.07%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 5, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0758 | -5.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2215 | 26.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9457 | 152.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0192 | 1.72* |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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