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V-Lab

Peruvian New Sol EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

7.18%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

7.25%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

7.46%

decreased by 0.08%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Peruvian New Sol EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0750
-1.50
αARCH0.2193
6.70***
βGARCH0.9463
38.66***
γleverage0.0203
0.46

0.946

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0750
-1.50
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2193
6.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9463
38.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0203
0.46

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days