Peruvian New Sol GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
5.36%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
5.40%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
5.53%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0007 | 4.38 | |
| 0.0775 | 16.20 | |
| 0.9333 | 344.52 | |
| -0.0217 | -2.81 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1996 to May 22, 2026
Jan 5, 1996 to May 22, 2026
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