Peruvian New Sol GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
1 Day
8.54%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Week
8.56%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
8.64%
decreased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, March 31, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0007 | 4.37 | |
| 0.0777 | 15.91 | |
| 0.9336 | 345.01 | |
| -0.0225 | -2.87 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1996 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 5, 1996 to Mar 27, 2026
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