Peruvian New Sol GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026
1 Day
5.52%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
5.55%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
5.68%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 6, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0007 | 4.36 | |
| 0.0780 | 15.80 | |
| 0.9335 | 348.33 | |
| -0.0231 | -2.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026
Jan 5, 1996 to Jul 3, 2026
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