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V-Lab

Philippine Peso GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3.21%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

3.27%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

3.48%

increased by 0.19%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Philippine Peso GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0013
22.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0673
23.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9198
524.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0016
-0.32

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days