Indonesian Rupiah GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 13th, 2026
1 Day
4.22%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
4.31%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
4.67%
increased by 0.52%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 10, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0016 | 13.95 | |
| 0.0987 | 20.25 | |
| 0.9095 | 425.99 | |
| -0.0164 | -2.24 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 30, 1998 to Apr 10, 2026
Jun 30, 1998 to Apr 10, 2026
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