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V-Lab

Canadian Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

3.79%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

3.81%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

3.89%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Canadian Dollar GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 174 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~174 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0005
3.21***
αARCH0.0364
4.85***
βGARCH0.9662
239.58***
γleverage-0.0132
-1.31

0.996

Persistence

174d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0005
3.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0364
4.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9662
239.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0132
-1.31

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

174 days