Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0004	2.11**
αARCH	0.0300	7.71***
βGARCH	0.9659	229.16***
γleverage	-0.0695	-2.39**

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0004	2.11**
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0300	7.71***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9659	229.16***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0695	-2.39**

V-Lab

Canadian Dollar AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Canadian Dollar Analyses