South African Rand AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, April 7th, 2026
1 Day
14.26%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
14.31%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Month
14.53%
decreased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Monday, April 6, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0008 | 4.34 | |
| 0.0655 | 33.79 | |
| 0.9362 | 513.24 | |
| -0.1146 | -10.24 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 3, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 3, 2026
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