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V-Lab

Philippine Peso AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

6.88%

increased by 2.63%

1 Week

6.83%

increased by 2.58%

1 Month

6.67%

increased by 2.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Philippine Peso AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0014
22.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0670
42.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9193
523.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0020
0.41

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days