V-Lab
Philippine Peso AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
6.88%
increased by 2.63%
1 Week
6.83%
increased by 2.58%
1 Month
6.67%
increased by 2.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0014 | 22.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0670 | 42.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9193 | 523.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0020 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
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