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V-Lab
V-Lab

Philippine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

4.01%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

4.09%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Month

4.39%

increased by 0.18%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Philippine Peso EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 31, 2001 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0332
-3.97***
αARCH0.1433
10.74***
βGARCH0.9808
283.30***
γleverage0.0042
0.35

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0332
-3.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1433
10.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9808
283.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0042
0.35

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days