V-Lab
Philippine Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.01%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Week
4.09%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
4.39%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 31, 2001 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0332 | -3.97*** |
| αARCH | 0.1433 | 10.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9808 | 283.30*** |
| γleverage | 0.0042 | 0.35 |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0332 | -3.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1433 | 10.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9808 | 283.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0042 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
Other Philippine Peso Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Currencies