V-Lab
Israeli Shekel EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
8.15%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
8.21%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
8.45%
decreased by 0.14%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 01:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 31% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0131 | -10.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1409 | 34.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9841 | 1,268.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0190 | 6.12*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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