Israeli Shekel EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
7.35%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
7.44%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Month
7.75%
increased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 43 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 43 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 43-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0131 | -2.68*** |
| αARCH | 0.1403 | 8.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9842 | 318.50*** |
| γleverage | 0.0189 | 1.53 |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0131 | -2.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1403 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9842 | 318.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0189 | 1.53 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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