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Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

7.00%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

7.00%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

7.00%

decreased by 0.23%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

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graph of Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0021
5.74***
αARCH0.0708
6.02***
βGARCH0.9275
144.94***
γleverage-0.0187
-1.12

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0021
5.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0708
6.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9275
144.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0187
-1.12

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days