V-Lab
Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8.69%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
8.65%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
8.52%
decreased by 0.47%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 36% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0022 | 23.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0717 | 24.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9265 | 571.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0189 | -4.47*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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