Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
6.31%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
6.33%
increased by 0.21%
1 Month
6.38%
increased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0022 | 5.75*** |
| αARCH | 0.0707 | 6.02*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9275 | 144.80*** |
| γleverage | -0.0186 | -1.11 |
0.989
Persistence62d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0022 | 5.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0707 | 6.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9275 | 144.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0186 | -1.11 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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