V-Lab
Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
7.25%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
7.25%
increased by 0.31%
1 Month
7.22%
increased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0022 | 22.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0715 | 24.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9268 | 574.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0191 | -4.54*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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