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V-Lab

Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

7.25%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

7.25%

increased by 0.31%

1 Month

7.22%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1991 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 37% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0022
22.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0715
24.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9268
574.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0191
-4.54***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days