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Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026

1 Day

8.55%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Week

8.52%

decreased by 0.29%

1 Month

8.41%

decreased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/02/2024

to

11/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1991 to Oct 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 63-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0021
5.75***
αARCH0.0706
6.03***
βGARCH0.9278
145.77***
γleverage-0.0188
-1.13

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0021
5.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0706
6.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9278
145.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0188
-1.13

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days