V-Lab
Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
7.00%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
7.00%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
7.00%
decreased by 0.23%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0021 | 5.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.0708 | 6.02*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9275 | 144.94*** |
| γleverage | -0.0187 | -1.12 |
0.989
Persistence62d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0021 | 5.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0708 | 6.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9275 | 144.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0187 | -1.12 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
Other Israeli Shekel Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Currencies