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V-Lab

Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

10.30%

increased by 2.08%

1 Week

10.24%

increased by 2.02%

1 Month

10.01%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Israeli Shekel GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1991 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 36% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0022
23.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0719
24.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9264
571.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0191
-4.52***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

61 days