Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Israeli Shekel GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

6.40%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

6.42%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

6.48%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 01:09 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/11/2024

to

10/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Israeli Shekel GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 1991 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 65 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 65 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 65-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0021
5.78***
αARCH0.0625
9.83***
βGARCH0.9269
141.94***

0.989

Persistence

65d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0021
5.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0625
9.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9269
141.94***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days