V-Lab
Israeli Shekel GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
9.52%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Week
9.47%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Month
9.31%
decreased by 0.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 1991 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0021 | 5.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0628 | 9.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9267 | 141.84*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
66 days
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