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V-Lab

US Dollar to New Zealand Dollar GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

6.90%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

6.93%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

7.08%

increased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to New Zealand Dollar GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 105 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0023
13.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0288
23.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9646
649.98***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

105 days