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V-Lab

US Dollar to New Zealand Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

7.52%

increased by 0.19%

1 Week

7.66%

increased by 0.33%

1 Month

7.81%

increased by 0.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to New Zealand Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 24, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1300
1.68*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0055
0.12
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1014
-1.65*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0882
0.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7430
0.22
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.085

Half-life:

0 days