V-Lab
US Dollar to New Zealand Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
7.52%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
7.66%
increased by 0.33%
1 Month
7.81%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 24, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1300 | 1.68* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0055 | 0.12 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1014 | -1.65* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0882 | 0.19 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7430 | 0.22 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.085
Half-life:
0 days
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