V-Lab
Croatian Kuna MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
3.97%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
4.17%
increased by 0.20%
1 Month
4.40%
increased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 1996 to Aug 24, 2026Stationarity Enforced
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0511 | 1.33 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0875 | 0.80 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0313 | 1.31 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0205 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9386 | 0.10 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.154
Half-life:
0 days
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