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V-Lab

Croatian Kuna MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

3.97%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

4.17%

increased by 0.20%

1 Month

4.40%

increased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Croatian Kuna MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 9, 1996 to Aug 24, 2026
Stationarity Enforced
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0511
1.33
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0875
0.80
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0313
1.31
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0205
0.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9386
0.10
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.154

Half-life:

0 days