Croatian Kuna MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 25th, 2026
1 Day
0.78%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
1,166,694,253,007,187,700,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 1,166,694,253,007,187,700,000,000,000,000,000.00%
1 Month
925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 925,226,653,312,581,600,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, May 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0159 | 23.88 | |
| 0.0900 | 22.67 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 9, 1996 to May 22, 2026
Jan 9, 1996 to May 22, 2026
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