US Dollar to Japanese Yen MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 7th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 2.01%
1 Week
0.42%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Month
0.90%
decreased by 1.11%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 6, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0208 | 6.86 | |
| 1.0000 | 221.09 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 3, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 3, 2026
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