US Dollar to Japanese Yen MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
0.00%
decreased by 1.88%
1 Week
3.09%
increased by 1.21%
1 Month
1,268.16%
increased by 1,266.28%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 01:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | ||
| 0.7197 | 7,197,260.00 | |
| 0.0303 | 302,740.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.4346 | 19.66 | |
| 0.9115 | 17.03 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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