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V-Lab

Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

57.26%

decreased by 4.89%

1 Week

61.07%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Month

66.45%

increased by 4.30%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/07/2024

to

11/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Nov 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow121
αARCH0.2353
3.82***
βGARCH0.5857
7.95***
γleverage-0.0673
-0.86
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.13
λ₂forecast adj.0.5417
1.82*
λ₃tau persistence0.0172
0.03

0.787

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2353
3.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5857
7.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0673
-0.86
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5417
1.82*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0172
0.03

Persistence:

0.787

Half-life:

3 days