V-Lab
Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
42.42%
1 Week
49.31%
1 Month
58.54%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Aug 15, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2262 | 15.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5964 | 35.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0545 | -2.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5640 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.795
Half-life:
3 days
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