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V-Lab

Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

48.26%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

53.76%

increased by 4.82%

1 Month

61.36%

increased by 12.42%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 06:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 33% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2293
14.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5922
37.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0565
-2.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4756
0.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0919
0.03

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days