V-Lab
Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
58.36%
decreased by 3.30%
1 Week
65.48%
increased by 3.82%
1 Month
76.47%
increased by 14.81%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 5, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.3084 | 4.48*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6120 | 11.35*** |
| γleverage | -0.1211 | -1.36 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0953 | 0.13 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9966 | 33.66*** |
0.860
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3084 | 4.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6120 | 11.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1211 | -1.36 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0953 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9966 | 33.66*** |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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