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V-Lab

Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

58.36%

decreased by 3.30%

1 Week

65.48%

increased by 3.82%

1 Month

76.47%

increased by 14.81%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 5, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.3084
4.48***
βGARCH0.6120
11.35***
γleverage-0.1211
-1.36
λ₁tau intercept0.0953
0.13
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9966
33.66***

0.860

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3084
4.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6120
11.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1211
-1.36
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0953
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9966
33.66***

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days