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V-Lab

Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

42.42%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

49.31%

increased by 6.34%

1 Month

58.54%

increased by 15.57%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Aug 15, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2262
15.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5964
35.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0545
-2.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5640
0.13
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.795

Half-life:

3 days