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V-Lab

Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

46.20%

increased by 0.12%

1 Week

53.04%

increased by 6.96%

1 Month

61.75%

increased by 15.67%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 12:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 35% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2335
14.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5898
36.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0603
-2.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.35
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4243
0.38
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1467
0.06

Persistence:

0.793

Half-life:

3 days