Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
46.20%
1 Week
53.04%
1 Month
61.75%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 12:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 35% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2335 | 14.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5898 | 36.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0603 | -2.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.35 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4243 | 0.38 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1467 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
Other Ripple to US Dollar Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Currencies