V-Lab
Ripple to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
48.26%
1 Week
53.76%
1 Month
61.36%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 06:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 33% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2293 | 14.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5922 | 37.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0565 | -2.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4756 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0919 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
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