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Ripple to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

67.62%

decreased by 6.39%

1 Week

69.64%

decreased by 4.37%

1 Month

74.65%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/07/2024

to

11/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ripple to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2018 to Nov 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 3.09 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run30.3370
1.12
αscore0.1534
4.90***
βpersistence0.9309
15.04***
νDF3.0856
3.21***

0.931

Persistence

10d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

30.3370
1.12
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1534
4.90***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9309
15.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0856
3.21***

Persistence:

0.931

Half-life:

10 days