Ripple to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
67.62%
decreased by 6.39%
1 Week
69.64%
decreased by 4.37%
1 Month
74.65%
increased by 0.64%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 07:02 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Nov 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 3.09 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 30.3370 | 1.12 |
| αscore | 0.1534 | 4.90*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9309 | 15.04*** |
| νDF | 3.0856 | 3.21*** |
0.931
Persistence10d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 30.3370 | 1.12 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1534 | 4.90*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9309 | 15.04*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0856 | 3.21*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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