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Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

58.59%

increased by 4.68%

1 Week

59.66%

increased by 5.75%

1 Month

63.07%

increased by 9.16%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 07:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/08/2024

to

11/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Nov 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.77 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 23-day half-lifev = 3.77 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run22.3730
0.93
αscore0.0853
5.00***
βpersistence0.9705
25.54***
νDF3.7716
1.85*

0.970

Persistence

23d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

22.3730
0.93
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0853
5.00***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9705
25.54***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7716
1.85*

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days