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Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

67.94%

decreased by 6.14%

1 Week

68.49%

decreased by 5.59%

1 Month

70.27%

decreased by 3.81%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC

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graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Sep 26, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.69 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-lifev = 3.69 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst23.7210
0.91
αARCH0.0892
5.42***
βGARCH0.9720
27.46***
νDF3.6932
2.14**

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

23.7210
0.91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0892
5.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9720
27.46***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6932
2.14**

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days