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Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

55.71%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Week

57.05%

increased by 0.82%

1 Month

61.32%

increased by 5.09%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 06:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/17/2024

to

10/17/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Oct 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.68 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-lifev = 3.68 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst23.1821
0.91
αARCH0.0886
5.32***
βGARCH0.9714
26.72***
νDF3.6838
2.09**

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

23.1821
0.91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
5.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9714
26.72***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6838
2.09**

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days