V-Lab
Dogecoin to US Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
34.02%
1 Week
36.62%
1 Month
39.47%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2022 to Aug 15, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 116% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1471 | 11.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5287 | 13.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0789 | -5.90*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3006 | 1.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9124 | 4.60*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.636
Half-life:
2 days
Other Dogecoin to US Dollar Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Currencies