Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Dogecoin to US Dollar Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

47.59%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

50.38%

increased by 2.10%

1 Month

55.09%

increased by 6.81%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 06:06 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/17/2024

to

10/17/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Dogecoin to US Dollar S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2022 to Oct 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4663
4.31***
αARCH0.1589
3.26***
βGARCH0.7065
8.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.7690
4.52***
γ2-1.1957
-4.98***
γ30.5776
5.05***

0.865

Persistence

5d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4663
4.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1589
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7065
8.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.7690
4.52***
γ2-1.1957
-4.98***
γ30.5776
5.05***

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days