US Dollar to Gold Troy Ounce Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:124.78% (-1.71%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3696 | 2.36 | |
| 0.0637 | 4.43 | |
| 0.9231 | 62.78 | |
| 0.1137 | 0.35 | |
| 0.0595 | 0.12 | |
| -0.3834 | -0.92 | |
| 0.4956 | 1.45 | |
| -0.5138 | -0.91 | |
| 0.3360 | 0.41 | |
| -0.0629 | -0.09 | |
| -1.3779 | -0.89 | |
| 4.2573 | 1.11 | |
| -4.5677 | -1.20 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 27, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 27, 2013 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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