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V-Lab

Norwegian Krone Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

6.33%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

6.38%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

6.56%

increased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 7, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Norwegian Krone S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 116 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~116 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9754
10.10***
αARCH0.0294
6.52***
βGARCH0.9647
189.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0000
-0.15

0.994

Persistence

116d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9754
10.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0294
6.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9647
189.37***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0000
-0.15

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

116 days