V-Lab
Norwegian Krone GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
7.15%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Week
7.18%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Month
7.31%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 116 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0022 | 14.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0312 | 15.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9652 | 796.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0046 | -1.46 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
116 days
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