V-Lab
Ripple to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
61.25%
decreased by 4.61%
1 Week
67.15%
increased by 1.29%
1 Month
76.44%
increased by 10.58%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 06:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Sep 26, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.8317 | 2.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.2694 | 3.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6378 | 10.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0965 | -0.65 |
0.859
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8317 | 2.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2694 | 3.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6378 | 10.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0965 | -0.65 |
Persistence:
0.859
Half-life:
5 days
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