Ripple to US Dollar GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
55.73%
decreased by 0.92%
1 Week
63.32%
increased by 6.67%
1 Month
74.89%
increased by 18.24%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 06:05 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 7, 2018 to Oct 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.7866 | 2.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.2710 | 3.05*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6382 | 10.46*** |
| γleverage | -0.0983 | -0.67 |
0.860
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7866 | 2.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2710 | 3.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6382 | 10.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0983 | -0.67 |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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