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{name} Model Equation

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Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0025	2.95***
αARCH	0.1282	3.19***
βGARCH	0.8555	37.34***
γleverage	-0.0069	-0.11

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0025	2.95***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1282	3.19***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8555	37.34***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0069	-0.11

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Egyptian Pound GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Egyptian Pound Analyses