V-Lab
Egyptian Pound GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
5.89%
increased by 0.18%
1 Week
5.87%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
5.82%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2003 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0025 | 11.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1259 | 12.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8564 | 149.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0064 | -0.39 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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