V-Lab
Egyptian Pound GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
7.04%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
6.98%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Month
6.78%
decreased by 0.78%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2003 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0025 | 11.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1262 | 12.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8558 | 148.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0057 | -0.35 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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