Egyptian Pound GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
12.67%
increased by 3.73%
1 Week
12.47%
increased by 3.53%
1 Month
11.74%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2003 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0025 | 2.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.1282 | 3.17*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8556 | 37.37*** |
| γleverage | -0.0076 | -0.12 |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0025 | 2.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1282 | 3.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8556 | 37.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0076 | -0.12 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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