V-Lab
Egyptian Pound EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.99%
decreased by 0.39%
1 Week
5.14%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
5.59%
increased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2003 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.1046 | -2.05** |
| αARCH | 0.2426 | 7.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9412 | 48.43*** |
| γleverage | 0.0205 | 0.62 |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.1046 | -2.05** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2426 | 7.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9412 | 48.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0205 | 0.62 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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