V-Lab
Hong Kong Dollar EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026
1 Day
0.29%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
0.33%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
0.49%
increased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2003 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.3507 | -15.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3718 | 34.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9395 | 252.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0097 | -1.15 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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