Colombian Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
10.32%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
10.57%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Month
11.60%
increased by 0.67%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 01:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 20, 1992 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0146 | 4.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.1731 | 12.09*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9889 | 567.34*** |
| γleverage | 0.0243 | 1.76* |
0.989
Persistence62d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0146 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1731 | 12.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9889 | 567.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0243 | 1.76* |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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